Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.1%
Newport County
21.6%
Draw
60.3%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Newport County
vs
1.83
Bradford
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).