Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Red Star
24.8%
Draw
43.0%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Red Star
vs
1.35
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).