Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Zaragoza
27.6%
Draw
40.2%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Zaragoza
vs
1.26
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).