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AHT: 00CSV

30 Nov 2019 · 13:30

Troyes

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Sochaux
27.0%
Draw
39.8%
Troyes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Sochaux

vs
1.16

Troyes

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.0%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).