Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.9%
Erzurum BB
20.8%
Draw
72.3%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Erzurum BB
vs
2.26
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.1%
0-3
10.6%
0-1
10.5%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
6.0%
1-4
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
0-5
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).