Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →98.3%
Roma
1.3%
Draw
0.4%
Nailsea & Tickenham
Expected Goals (xG)
5.64
Roma
vs
0.45
Nailsea & Tickenham
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.598.3%
Over 2.594.0%
Over 3.585.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-0
11.1%
4-0
9.8%
3-0
7.0%
5-1
5.0%
4-1
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
2-1
1.7%
1-0
1.3%
5-2
1.1%
4-2
1.0%
3-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).