Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Union Berlin
24.8%
Draw
46.8%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Union Berlin
vs
1.76
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
5.3%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).