Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Dortmund
22.5%
Draw
23.1%
Stuttgart
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Dortmund
vs
1.31
Stuttgart
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).