Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Nott'm Forest
27.2%
Draw
13.4%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.60
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
14.0%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).