Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Pau FC
21.3%
Draw
41.8%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Pau FC
vs
1.71
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS64.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).