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HHT: 11CSV

12 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
Cremonese
26.4%
Draw
43.6%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Cremonese

vs
1.64

Venezia

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).