Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Mallorca
29.5%
Draw
29.6%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Mallorca
vs
0.99
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).