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AHT: 01CSV

18 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.9%
Valladolid
23.6%
Draw
58.5%
Valencia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Valladolid

vs
1.77

Valencia

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).