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05 Mar 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.1%
Stoke
27.8%
Draw
20.0%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Stoke

vs
0.86

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).