Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.9%
Luton
23.8%
Draw
58.4%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Luton
vs
1.90
Coventry
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
6.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
0-4
3.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).