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17 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.9%
Bristol Rvs
24.0%
Draw
56.1%
Colchester

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.61

Colchester

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).