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14 Aug 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.9%
Fredrikstad
17.6%
Draw
9.5%
Haugesund

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Fredrikstad

vs
0.63

Haugesund

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.3%
1-0
13.3%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
5.6%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).