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13 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.0%
Stevenage
24.6%
Draw
18.4%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Stevenage

vs
0.69

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS37.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.0%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).