⚽ FootballData
4 – 0
HHT: 20CSV

28 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
37.5%
Orleans
28.0%
Draw
34.5%
Red Star

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Orleans

vs
1.01

Red Star

Markets

BTTS40.5%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).