Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.1%
Ingolstadt
15.7%
Draw
75.2%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Ingolstadt
vs
2.73
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.9%
0-3
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
1-1
7.2%
0-1
6.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-2
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
0-5
3.4%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).