Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Barnet
26.6%
Draw
30.5%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Barnet
vs
1.05
Salford
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).