Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.2%
Real Madrid
15.4%
Draw
7.4%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Real Madrid
vs
0.64
Eibar
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.9%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
0-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).