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AHT: 12CSV

30 Oct 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.5%
Bromley
26.5%
Draw
11.0%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Bromley

vs
0.51

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS32.4%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.8%
2-0
15.4%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
10.9%
3-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
0-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).