Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Notts County
31.7%
Draw
31.4%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Notts County
vs
0.85
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.553.4%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
0-0
15.9%
0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).