Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Chesterfield
26.0%
Draw
33.7%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Chesterfield
vs
1.43
Southend
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).