Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Cardiff
32.1%
Draw
33.5%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Cardiff
vs
1.05
Oxford
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).