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DHT: 11CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.6%
Annan Athletic
14.4%
Draw
76.0%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Annan Athletic

vs
2.92

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
6.0%
0-4
6.0%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
1-5
3.5%
0-5
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).