Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Swansea
31.2%
Draw
23.6%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Swansea
vs
0.83
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).