Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Stoke
31.7%
Draw
23.8%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Stoke
vs
0.83
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.9%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).