Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.5%
Sp Lisbon
5.7%
Draw
1.7%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.35
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS28.6%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
4-0
13.1%
5-0
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-1
3.2%
1-1
2.6%
0-0
2.2%
3-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).