Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Pogoń Szczecin
23.7%
Draw
19.4%
Arka Gdynia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Pogoń Szczecin
vs
1.05
Arka Gdynia
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).