Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Sutton
22.6%
Draw
24.6%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Sutton
vs
1.12
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).