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AHT: 10CSV

31 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Crewe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.4%
Bromley
23.6%
Draw
25.0%
Crewe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Bromley

vs
1.06

Crewe

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).