Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Ajaccio
35.0%
Draw
29.3%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Ajaccio
vs
0.68
Bastia
Markets
BTTS26.1%
Over 0.578.2%
Over 1.542.4%
Over 2.518.5%
Over 3.56.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.8%
1-0
19.1%
0-1
16.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
3-0
1.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).