Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Empoli
24.9%
Draw
18.7%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Empoli
vs
0.97
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.2%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
2.9%
0-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).