Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Stranraer
33.3%
Draw
30.2%
Forfar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Stranraer
vs
1.07
Forfar
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.7%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).