Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Coventry
26.1%
Draw
28.9%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Coventry
vs
0.96
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).