Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.5%
Sp Lisbon
5.1%
Draw
1.5%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
3.58
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.34
Boavista
Markets
BTTS28.2%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
15.1%
4-0
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
5-0
9.7%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-1
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
5-1
3.3%
1-1
2.3%
0-0
1.9%
3-2
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).