Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Hamilton
21.7%
Draw
16.5%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Hamilton
vs
0.96
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).