Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.9%
Lorient
12.5%
Draw
7.6%
Martigues
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Lorient
vs
0.67
Martigues
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-0
3.9%
0-0
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).