Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Scunthorpe
23.5%
Draw
22.3%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Scunthorpe
vs
1.20
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).