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AHT: 02

18 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.9%
Luzern
21.5%
Draw
26.6%
Servette

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

Luzern

vs
1.76

Servette

Markets

BTTS76.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.578.8%
Over 3.560.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
7.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
3-2
5.6%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).