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DHT: 10CSV

01 Oct 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.8%
Cagliari
27.4%
Draw
26.8%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Cagliari

vs
0.94

Venezia

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).