Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.1%
Leicester
26.6%
Draw
35.3%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Leicester
vs
1.43
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).