Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Celtic
24.4%
Draw
30.7%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Celtic
vs
1.22
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).