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23 Oct 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.5%
Śląsk Wrocław
24.9%
Draw
25.6%
Stal Mielec

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Śląsk Wrocław

vs
1.26

Stal Mielec

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).