Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Nantes
21.1%
Draw
59.9%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Nantes
vs
1.87
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).