Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.3%
Toulouse
18.5%
Draw
12.2%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Toulouse
vs
0.70
Clermont
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).