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DHT: 01CSV

24 Apr 2021 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.4%
Denizlispor
34.2%
Draw
29.4%
Sivasspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Denizlispor

vs
1.13

Sivasspor

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.3%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).