Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.7%
Alcorcon
32.3%
Draw
38.1%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Alcorcon
vs
0.99
Logrones
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.2%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-0
16.1%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).